Mets vs. Cubs: Three Keys to a Chicago Game 3 Victory

 The Chicago Cubs have been one of the best teams in baseball this season, but as they prepare for Game 3 of the NLCS on Tuesday night, they find themselves in trouble as they trail 2-0 in the series against the New York Mets.

The first two games have been a pitching clinic for New York, as they’ve limited the Cubs to just three runs and have silenced some of the team’s best bats. Some of the blame for that power outage for Chicago can be attributed to cold weather in the Big Apple, but the Mets’ pitchers have been making hitters look foolish throughout the season, and it’s carried over into the playoffs.

So how can the Cubs win Game 3 and turn the momentum in the series around? We have three keys to victory for Chicago as they look to climb back into the NLCS.

Avoid an Early Deficit

In the first two games of the series, the Cubs have found themselves behind the 8-ball quickly. After going down quietly in the first inning of both games, the Cubs coughed up runs to the Mets in the bottom of half of the frames, with Daniel Murphy pounding home runs in each of his first at-bats in this series and David Wright coming up with a big RBI double in Game 2.

The Cubs won’t be at bat first to start Tuesday’s game, but it’s imperative that Kyle Hendricks is able to keep the Mets’ offense off the board. Playing from behind shouldn’t scare a team like Chicago, with their prodigious power and ability to score runs in bunches, but it’s still not an ideal situation, and they have to be able to set the tone early in this game and to keep a frenzied crowd at Wrigley Field sufficiently amped up.

Keep Granderson at Bay

In the first two games of the NLCS, Curtis Granderson has been an absolute beast for the Mets, reaching base three times, stealing two bases, and driving in two runs. That comes after he racked up an impressive .476 on-base percentage in five games against the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NLDS, and it’s a worrying trend for a Cubs team that has had trouble dealing with the top hitters in New York’s lineup.

If the Cubs want to stop the Mets from staging rallies and stringing together hits (and stolen bases), then it’s imperative that they keep Granderson off the basepaths. Whether it’s a change in how they pitch to him or in how they position themselves defensively, Joe Maddon and the Cubs have got to make some adjustments, or guys like Wright and Murphy will continue to have chances to drive Granderson in early and often in games.

Sit on deGrom’s Fastball

The Mets are a team loaded with guys that can throw some big-number fastballs, with Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndergaard, and Matt Harvey all capable of throwing pitches of 95 MPH or more. In the first two games of the series, those well-located fastballs have given the Cubs’ hitters fits, and even when they have been able to make contact, often it’s been right at a Mets defender.

Part of that is bad luck, but there is still reason for optimism for the Cubs. According to Fangraphs, the Cubs had the best-best slugging percentage in baseball against fastballs of 96 MPH or more this season, and that is exactly what deGrom is capable of doing on Tuesday night. If guys like Kyle Schwarber and Jorge Soler can get around on these pitches, an outward wind and the sheer velocity of the impact should hopefully be enough to propel balls over the fences, and put runs on the board for a Cubs team that’s in desperate need of some offense.

Contact Us