In a new poll from Dem-leaning Public Policy Polling, Brady's leading Quinn 43-33 and garnering 80% of the GOP vote. Quinn, meanwhile, has just 53% of the Democratic vote.
33 percent! And he's an incumbent!
Part of Quinn's problem within his own party is the same as that of Alexi Giannoulias- many Democrats who aren't too high on him aren't choosing a side for now. 28% of Democrats are undecided while only 13% of Republicans are. But Quinn is in a deeper hole than his party's Senate nominee because 19% of Democrats have already decided to support Brady for Governor compared to only 10% going for Mark Kirk against Giannoulias.
Looks like Brady and Kirk can perhaps follow the same strategy, too. More:
There’s virtually nothing positive that can be derived from Quinn’s poll numbers. Democrats only approve of him by the smallest of margins, 37/36. African Americans disapprove of him by a 24/37 spread, although they still plan to vote for him 51-17. Only 23% of independents and 10% of Republicans think he’s doing a good job.
“It’s very unusual for someone with Pat Quinn’s approval numbers to get reelected,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Maybe voters won’t like what they see once they become more familiar with Bill Brady but for now Republicans are strongly favored to win this race."
Quinn's biggest hope right now is to hope somehow a) the economy turns around, b) he can take credit for it, and c) Brady makes more public blunders -- like misunderstanding convict release programs and, y'know, advocating kitten death.