Here are predictions and odds on next week’s Illinois Republican presidential primary, from both political experts and bookies
Nate Silver, fivethirtyeight.com
Mitt Romney 38.7 percent of the vote 66 percent chance to win
Rick Santorum 34.5 percent of the vote 34 percent chance to win
Newt Gingrich 14.1 percent of the vote 0 percent chance to win
Ron Paul 8.7 percent of the vote 0 percent chance to win
Larry Sabato, Crystal Ball
Romney 34 delegates
Santorum 20 delegates
Gingrich 0 delegates
Paul 0 delegates
InTrade
Mitt Romney 82.5 percent chance to win
Rick Santorum 17.6 percent chance to win
Ron Paul 0.5 percent chance to win
Newt Gingrich 0.3 percent chance to win
Paddypower.com odds on the winner:
Mitt Romney 1/6
Rick Santorum 7/2
Ron Paul 50/1
Newt Gingrich 50/1
The odds on the Republican nomination, from British bookmaker William Hill:
Mitt Romney 1/14
Rick Santorum 10/1
Ron Paul 25/1
Jeb Bush 25/1
Sarah Palin 33/1
Newt Gingrich 40/1
